Future California

What is the future of California? I ask various questions and generate discussion around what our future is. Particularly in light of Peak Oil and the resulting economic difficulties.

Thursday, October 13, 2005

Draw Down

We are "drawing down" our resources.

This statement uses an analogy of a bank account. When you make a withdrawal your account diminishes. When you do this consistently over a period of time you are drawing down your account.

There is an implication in this statement; that these resources are non-renewable. Or at the least it will take them awhile to replenish themselves. This is certainly the case with many so-called resources:

Minerals: oil, natural gas, iron, nickel, copper, silver, etc...

Considering the importance of energy in exploiting these resources is very revealing. As the easily accessible minerals are mined then it requires more energy and intensive technology to get to the remaining minerals. This fact is what has kept the price of these commodities cheap, because of the ever increasing energy at our disposal. The ratio of energy expended compared to the return has been very good. With energy descend the entire equation begins to shift.

It becomes increasingly more expensive to extract the same amount of minerals. Applying efficieny is one way to reduce the costs of extraction, and we assume in today's "rational" capitalism that companies have already been pursuing this route. The results of this have been increasing mechanisation of the entire extraction process. However more energy is employed, because bigger machines are used. So the rationality employed by companies is not an "energetic" rationality but a financial rationality. Herein lies the tension point. The difference between money and energy.

This is why we are headed for a fall. The economic world has not understood the fundamental nature of energy. To be sure this is not a fair statement, it is likely that they have indeed recognized this, but still employed the same mechanisms for a short term advantage.

For indeed it would be more difficult to get a loan if money was denominated in energy units. Why is this? Draw down is part of the answer, and the second law of thermodynamics is the other. An energy currency would be based on something concrete, an actual unit of energy. So then an interest loan, based on energy, is predicated on an increase in energy itself, to pay for the interest. What money is based on now is faith, faith in the government. That's all. As our government becomes less trustworthy then faith in the currency follows a similar decline.

Monday, October 10, 2005

Climate Change

There is a veritable stew of opinions on the causes of global climate change. However what is certain is that it is happening.

We are certainly not qualified to weigh in on the causes of this phenomenon. Simply raising the question of the effects of this process on the West coast is our intention. Given the great great complexity of global weather patterns, it is likely impossible to predict what type of long term changes will occur and where.

Certain trends are predictable, such as global warming increasing volatility. Yet the spectre of increasing climactic volatility certainly implies that we simply don't know what is going to happen.

In previous post we have commented on the interconnectedness of all things. This must include both human consciousness and natural phenomenon such as climate. Indeed it seems to be the case that the traditional cultures and belief systems of the world are fragmenting in the face of the Western inspired individualism. These traditional beliefs are like glue, they provide a framework and the cohesion for consciousness to dwell within. They have served as a regulating force for many centuries.

Since the so-called Enlightenment Era and the rise of individualism we have seen a steady erosion of Western culture and a concomitant rise in entropy, loosely defined. Particularly since the Industrial revolution, when we began to harness large amounts of energy, entropy has increased exponentially. This follows the same curve as energy utilisation.

This is our symbolic answer to the question of climate change, that it is to be found in the state of our consciousness. From an integral perspective entropy represents the opposing force of order. The ordering principle is what forms our consciousness and our cultures. These are fragmenting.

Climate is destabilising, world cultures are dissolving, and chaos is creeping.